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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Grp. E

15 Apr 2026 22:00 UTC

CARACAS vs INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Good
45%
1X2
Caracas
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Strong
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 58 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 56 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
40 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
31 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Good)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
46 predictions
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
53 predictions

Match preview