BALLYMENA UNITED vs BANGOR
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
53% (Average)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
14% (Low)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 180 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 190 completed matches.
1X2
53% (Average)
Both teams to score
48% (Average)
Total 1.5
69% (Strong)
Total 2.5
53% (Average)
Total 3.5
52% (Average)
Total 4.5
75% (Strong)
Score
6% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 63 past matches
1X2
43% (Weak)
Both teams to score
41% (Weak)
Total 1.5
70% (Strong)
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
Total 3.5
52% (Average)
Total 4.5
81% (Strong)
Score
5% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
53% (Average)
152 predictions
Both teams to score
47% (Average)
102 predictions
Total 1.5
80% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 2.5
55% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 3.5
67% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 4.5
87% (Strong)
160 predictions