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Romania · Superliga · Superliga Relegation Group

11 Apr 2026 14:15 UTC

UTA ARAD vs BOTOSANI

Final 3:1

UTA Arad won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Benjamin Van Durmen — UTA Arad
  2. ⚽ Sebastian Mailat — Botosani

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dmytro Pospelov — UTA Arad
  2. ⚽ Richard Odada — UTA Arad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: UTA Arad
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 88 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 266 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 262 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
73 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
156 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
213 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
245 predictions

Match overview