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Belgium · Second Division · Proximus League

11 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

LOMMEL vs CLUB BRUGGE NXT

Final 0:1

Club Brugge NXT won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Yanis Musuayi — Club Brugge NXT

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
180 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
221 predictions

Match overview