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Scotland · League Two

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

ELGIN vs ANNAN ATHLETIC

Final 0:3

Annan Athletic won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dylan Ross — Annan Athletic

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Wullie Gibson — Annan Athletic
  2. ⚽ Tommy Goss — Annan Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
Elgin
90-minute result: Annan Athletic
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 149 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
112 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
137 predictions

Match overview