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Moldova · Super Liga · Super Liga Championship Group

11 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

FC SHERIFF vs FC MILSAMI ORHEI

Final 3:1

FC Sheriff won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jayder Asprilla — FC Sheriff
  2. ⚽ Danny Lupano — FC Milsami Orhei

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jayder Asprilla — FC Sheriff
  2. ⚽ Jayder Asprilla — FC Sheriff

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FC Sheriff
90-minute result: FC Sheriff
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 93 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 81 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
42 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
36 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
60 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
68 predictions

Match overview