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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

10 Apr 2026 21:15 UTC

2 DE MAYO vs SPORTIVO AMELIANO

Final 1:2

Sportivo Ameliano won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Diego Acosta — 2 de Mayo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jorge Sanguina — Sportivo Ameliano
  2. ⚽ Luis Ayala — Sportivo Ameliano
  3. 🟥 Pedro Delvalle — 2 de Mayo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano
90-minute result: Sportivo Ameliano
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 225 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 199 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
132 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
183 predictions

Match overview