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Poland · Cup · FA Cup

09 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

RAKOW CZESTOCHOWA vs GKS KATOWICE

Final 4:4

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Erik Jirka — GKS Katowice
  2. ⚽ Arkadiusz Jedrych — GKS Katowice

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jonatan Braut Brunes — Rakow Czestochowa
  2. ⚽ Bogdan Racovitan — Rakow Czestochowa
  3. ⚽ Lamine Diaby-Fadiga — Rakow Czestochowa
  4. ⚽ Adam Zrelák — GKS Katowice

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Alan Czerwinski — Rakow Czestochowa
  2. ⚽ Eman Markovic — GKS Katowice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Rakow Czestochowa
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
12%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 29 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 26 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
20 predictions
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
13 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
19 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
10 predictions
Total 3.5 14% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
4 predictions

Match overview