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Serbia · Super Liga

09 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

NOVI PAZAR vs PARTIZAN BELGRADE

Final 2:3

Partizan Belgrade won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Demba Seck — Partizan Belgrade
  2. ⚽ Driton Camaj — Novi Pazar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Polter — Partizan Belgrade
  2. ⚽ Vieri Kotzebue — Novi Pazar
  3. ⚽ Milan Vukotic — Partizan Belgrade

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Partizan Belgrade
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 229 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
61 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
213 predictions

Match overview