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Turkey · 1. Lig

08 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

UMRANIYESPOR vs SAKARYASPOR

Final 2:0

Umraniyespor won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Batuhan Çelik — Umraniyespor

2nd half

  1. Toheeb Kosoko — Umraniyespor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 324 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 322 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
238 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
277 predictions

Match overview