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Turkey · 1. Lig

05 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

SIVASSPOR vs ESENLER EROKSPOR

Final 1:3

Esenler Erokspor won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Onur Ulas — Esenler Erokspor
  2. ⚽ Guélor Kanga — Esenler Erokspor

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Avramovski — Sivasspor
  2. ⚽ Yunus Emre Gedik — Esenler Erokspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Sivasspor
90-minute result: Esenler Erokspor
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 114 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 318 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
234 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
249 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
271 predictions

Match overview