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Scotland · League Two

04 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

STRANRAER vs DUMBARTON

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Scott Honeyman — Dumbarton

Model prediction

Weak
Favorite
39%
1X2
Stranraer
Risky
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Risky
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 144 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 154 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 34% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
133 predictions

Match preview