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Asia · Asian Cup Qualification · Asian Cup Qualification Round 3 Grp. C

31 Mar 2026 13:30 UTC

INDIA vs HONG KONG

Final 2:1

India won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Williams — India

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Akash Mishra — India
  2. ⚽ Everton Camargo — Hong Kong

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
India
90-minute result: India
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 48 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 36 completed matches.

1X2 69% (Strong)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 69% (Strong)
26 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
10 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
20 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
32 predictions

Match overview