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International · EURO U21 Qualification · EURO U21 Qualification Grp. F

31 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC

GEORGIA U21 vs MALTA U21

Final 4:1

Georgia U21 won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mattias Ellul — Malta U21
  2. ⚽ Luka Tsulukidze — Georgia U21
  3. ⚽ Gabriel Sigua — Georgia U21
  4. ⚽ Aleksandre Narimanidze — Georgia U21

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gabriel Sigua — Georgia U21

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Georgia U21
90-minute result: Georgia U21
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
18%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 73% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 151 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 64% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 64% (Good)
Both teams to score 82% (Strong)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 64% (Good)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 72% (Strong)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
72 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
128 predictions

Match overview