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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

31 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

SENEGAL vs GAMBIA

Final 3:1

Senegal won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Abdoulaye Seck — Senegal

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahim Mbaye — Senegal
  2. ⚽ Omar Colley — Gambia
  3. ⚽ Lamine Camara — Senegal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
46%
1X2
Gambia
90-minute result: Senegal
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 249 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 184 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
139 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
109 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
167 predictions

Match overview