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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

31 Mar 2026 18:30 UTC

IVORY COAST vs SCOTLAND

Final 1:0

Ivory Coast won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nicolas Pépé — Ivory Coast

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
44%
1X2
Ivory Coast
90-minute result: Ivory Coast
No surprise
41%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 249 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 184 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
139 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
167 predictions

Match overview