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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Apertura

31 Mar 2026 21:30 UTC

2 DE MAYO vs NACIONAL

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ezequiel Alfonso — 2 de Mayo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ignacio Bailone — Nacional

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
2 de Mayo
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview