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Scotland · League One

21 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH vs EAST FIFE

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Reece Lyon — Queen of the South
  2. ⚽ Myles Gaffney — East Fife
  3. ⚽ Reece Lyon — Queen of the South

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sam Culbert — East Fife

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Queen of the South
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 136 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 145 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
128 predictions

Match overview