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N. Ireland · Premiership

21 Mar 2026 20:00 UTC

CLIFTONVILLE vs BALLYMENA UNITED

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sean Robertson — Cliftonville
  2. ⚽ Brian Healy — Cliftonville

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Rory Hale — Cliftonville
  2. ⚽ Igor Rutkowski — Ballymena United
  3. ⚽ James Hood — Ballymena United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Cliftonville
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 172 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
85 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
123 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview