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England · Women's Super League · WSL

18 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

CHELSEA FC WOMEN vs BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION WOMEN

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Chelsea FC Women won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alyssa Thompson — Chelsea FC Women
  2. ⚽ Carla Camacho — Brighton & Hove Albion Women
  3. ⚽ Lexi Potter — Chelsea FC Women

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Chelsea FC Women
90-minute result: Chelsea FC Women
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 96 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 97 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 30 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
80 predictions

Match overview