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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

14 Mar 2026 15:00 UTC

RB LEIPZIG vs UNION BERLIN

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lisa Heiseler — Union Berlin
  2. ⚽ Lisa Baum — RB Leipzig
  3. ⚽ Marleen Schimmer — RB Leipzig

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samantha Steuerwald — Union Berlin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
RB Leipzig
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 129 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 130 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 49% (Average)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
100 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
116 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
28 predictions

Match overview