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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

13 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

JONG FC UTRECHT vs HELMOND SPORT

Final 1:0

Jong FC Utrecht won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Markus Gustav Jensen — Jong FC Utrecht

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Jong FC Utrecht
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 15% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 18% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)
62 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
251 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
219 predictions

Match overview