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Europe · Conference League · Conference League Final Stage

12 Mar 2026 17:45 UTC

LECH POZNAN vs SHAKHTAR DONETSK

Final 1:3

Shakhtar Donetsk won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marlon Gomes — Shakhtar Donetsk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Newerton — Shakhtar Donetsk
  2. ⚽ Mikael Ishak — Lech Poznan
  3. ⚽ Isaque — Shakhtar Donetsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
48%
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
90-minute result: Shakhtar Donetsk
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
82%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
25%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 124 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview