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England · FA Cup

09 Mar 2026 19:30 UTC

WEST HAM vs BRENTFORD

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jarrod Bowen — West Ham
  2. ⚽ Igor Thiago — Brentford
  3. ⚽ Jarrod Bowen — West Ham

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Igor Thiago — Brentford

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 114 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 108 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
26 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
92 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
40 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview