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Sweden · Cup · Cup Grp. 7

09 Mar 2026 18:00 UTC

VAESTERAAS SK vs IK ODDEVOLD

Final 0:1

IK Oddevold won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Erik Hedenquist — IK Oddevold

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
56%
1X2
IK Oddevold
90-minute result: IK Oddevold
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 102 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 78 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 17% (Weak)
Both teams to score 83% (Strong)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
74 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 35% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview