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Macedonia · Prva Liga

04 Mar 2026 13:00 UTC

ARSIMI vs GFK TIKVES KAVADARCI

Final 0:5

GFK Tikves Kavadarci won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Stojanov — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  2. ⚽ Moussa Guel — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  3. ⚽ Luciano Ayres Bucar — GFK Tikves Kavadarci

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nfanly Sylla — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  2. ⚽ David Golubov — GFK Tikves Kavadarci

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Arsimi
90-minute result: GFK Tikves Kavadarci
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 111 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 118 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
47 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
93 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
87 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
103 predictions

Match overview