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Turkey · Cup · Cup Grp. C

04 Mar 2026 17:30 UTC

BEYOGLU YENI CARSI FUTBOL KULUBU vs KOCAELISPOR

Final 1:0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Futbol Kulubu won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Rigoberto Rivas — Kocaelispor
  2. ⚽ Alhan Kurtoglu — Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Futbol Kulubu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Futbol Kulubu
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 14% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 87 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 82 completed matches.

1X2 10% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 10% (Weak)
21 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
72 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
71 predictions

Match overview