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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

27 Feb 2026 23:30 UTC

UNION LA CALERA vs AUDAX ITALIANO

Final 3:0

Union La Calera won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Sebastián Sáez — Union La Calera

2nd half

  1. Sebastián Sáez — Union La Calera
  2. 🟥 Juan Manuel Requena — Union La Calera
  3. 🟥 Federico Mateos — Audax Italiano
  4. Kevin Méndez — Union La Calera

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 176 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 146 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
134 predictions

Match overview