← Back to matches

Qatar · Stars League · Qatar Stars League

27 Feb 2026 18:30 UTC

AL-AHLI vs AL-SHAHANIYA

Final 1:2

Al-Shahaniya won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdoulaye Traoré — Al-Shahaniya
  2. ⚽ Abdoulaye Traoré — Al-Shahaniya
  3. 🟥 Erik Expósito — Al-Ahli
  4. ⚽ Julian Draxler — Al-Ahli
  5. 🟥 Khalid Muftah — Al-Shahaniya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Al-Ahli
90-minute result: Al-Shahaniya
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 98 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 98 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 1.5 13% (Weak)
16 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
40 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
87 predictions

Match overview