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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Apertura

25 Feb 2026 20:00 UTC

GIMNASIA LP vs ROSARIO CENTRAL

Final 1:2

Rosario Central won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ignacio Fernández — Gimnasia LP

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Enzo Daniel Gimenez — Rosario Central
  2. ⚽ Gastón Ávila — Rosario Central

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Gimnasia LP
90-minute result: Rosario Central
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 340 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
231 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
211 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
236 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
310 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
332 predictions

Match overview