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Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 1. Division

20 Feb 2026 15:30 UTC

ALUMINIUM ARAK vs PAYKAN

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mehdi Najafi — Paykan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Javad Aghayipour — Aluminium Arak

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Aluminium Arak
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
40%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 159 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
100 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview