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Scotland · League Two

24 Mar 2026 19:45 UTC

ELGIN vs FORFAR

Final 2:0

Elgin won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kane Hester — Elgin
  2. ⚽ Ali Spalding — Elgin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Elgin
90-minute result: Elgin
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 137 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 111 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
91 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
87 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
60 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
17 predictions

Match overview