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Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 1. Division

14 Feb 2026 13:30 UTC

GOL GOHAR vs PERSEPOLIS

Final 3:1

Gol Gohar won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pouya Pourali — Gol Gohar
  2. ⚽ Pouria Latififar — Gol Gohar
  3. ⚽ Igor Sergeyev — Persepolis

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pouria Latififar — Gol Gohar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Gol Gohar
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Lucky hit
40%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 156 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 155 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview