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Asia · AFC Cup · AFC Champions League Two Final Stage

11 Feb 2026 16:00 UTC

SEPAHAN vs AL-AHLI

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ricardo Alves — Sepahan
  2. ⚽ Michel Vlap — Al-Ahli
  3. ⚽ Arash Rezavand — Sepahan

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Omid Noorafkan — Sepahan
  2. ⚽ Erik Expósito — Al-Ahli

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
22%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 93 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 87 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 89% (Strong)
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 22% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
19 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
43 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
76 predictions

Match overview