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N. Ireland · League Cup

28 Jan 2026 19:45 UTC

LINFIELD vs BALLYMENA UNITED

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Linfield won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Isaac Baird — Linfield

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Linfield
90-minute result: Linfield
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
40%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 28 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 27 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
14 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
7 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
19 predictions
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
24 predictions

Match overview