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England · FA Trophy

13 Jan 2026 19:45 UTC

KIDDERMINSTER vs MORECAMBE

Final 6:2

Kidderminster won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Reece Devine — Kidderminster
  2. ⚽ Emeka Obi — Kidderminster
  3. ⚽ Toby Onanaye — Kidderminster
  4. ⚽ Admiral Muskwe — Morecambe
  5. ⚽ David Davis — Kidderminster
  6. ⚽ Ryley Reynolds — Kidderminster

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Paul Mbiya-Kalambayi — Kidderminster
  2. ⚽ Miguel Azeez — Morecambe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Morecambe
90-minute result: Kidderminster
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 40 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 40 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
6 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
17 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
34 predictions

Match overview