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Portugal · Taça da Liga · League Cup

10 Jan 2026 20:00 UTC

VITORIA DE GUIMARAES vs BRAGA

Final 2:1

Vitoria de Guimaraes won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mario Dorgeles — Braga

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samu — Vitoria de Guimaraes
  2. ⚽ Alioune Ndoye — Vitoria de Guimaraes
  3. 🟥 Nélson Oliveira — Vitoria de Guimaraes
  4. 🟥 Joao Mendes — Vitoria de Guimaraes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Braga
90-minute result: Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 0% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 6 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview