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France · Coupe de France

10 Jan 2026 14:30 UTC

SC BASTIA vs TROYES

Final 0:2

Troyes won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Renaud Ripart — Troyes

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Juan Guevara — SC Bastia
  2. ⚽ Tawfik Bentayeb — Troyes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
SC Bastia
90-minute result: Troyes
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 32 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 32 completed matches.

1X2 68% (Strong)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 68% (Strong)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
18 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
23 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
14 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
30 predictions

Match overview