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France · Trophée des Champions · Super Cup

08 Jan 2026 18:00 UTC

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN vs MARSEILLE

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ousmane Dembélé — Paris Saint-Germain

2nd half

  1. Mason Greenwood — Marseille
  2. Willian Pacho — Marseille
  3. Gonçalo Ramos — Paris Saint-Germain

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Match overview