DOVER vs HORNCHURCH

Final 1:4

Hornchurch won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Harry Gibbs — Hornchurch
⚽ Luke Baptiste — Hornchurch

2nd half

⚽ Angelo Balanta — Hornchurch
⚽ George Wilkinson — Dover
⚽ Henry Sandat — Hornchurch

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

51%

1X2

Dover

90-minute result: Hornchurch

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

48%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

52%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

28%

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Post-match review for Dover vs Hornchurch. The match ended 1-4 in England · FA Trophy. Pre-match projections pointed to Dover with a low-confidence projection at 51%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66.7% of matches across a sample of 3 games. Team-level data remains useful for understanding style and chance creation across comparable fixtures.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (48.4%) came in as a weak indicator and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (48.4%) appeared as a weak indicator and aligned with the result.

Both teams to score (53.6%) was confirmed by the match. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

Sections

DOVER vs HORNCHURCH

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Match overview