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New Zealand · Premier League · National League Final Stage

13 Dec 2025 05:00 UTC

WELLINGTON OLYMPIC vs AUCKLAND CITY FC

Final 2:2 Almanac Moment

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Matthew Ellis — Auckland City FC
  2. ⚽ Luke Stoupe — Wellington Olympic

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Isa Prins — Wellington Olympic
  2. ⚽ Christian Gray — Auckland City FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
52%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
29%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 8% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 11% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 54 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview