← Back to matches

New Zealand · Premier League · National League Championship

15 Nov 2025 02:00 UTC

MIRAMAR RANGERS vs AUCKLAND CITY FC

Final 3:0

Miramar Rangers won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Bueno — Miramar Rangers
  2. ⚽ Theo Ettema — Miramar Rangers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Timothy Fenton — Miramar Rangers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Miramar Rangers
90-minute result: Miramar Rangers
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
52%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 34 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview