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International · World Championship U-20 · World Cup U20 Grp. C

04 Oct 2025 20:00 UTC

MEXICO U20 vs MOROCCO U20

Final 1:0

Mexico U20 won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Gilberto Mora — Mexico U20

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 28 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 26 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
17 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
6 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
15 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
4 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
25 predictions

Match overview