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International · African Nations Championship · African Nations Championship Grp. B

13 Aug 2025 17:00 UTC

MAURITANIA vs BURKINA FASO

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Mauritania won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Abdoulaye Toure — Burkina Faso
  2. ⚽ Alassane Diop — Mauritania

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Mauritania
90-minute result: Mauritania
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
29%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 22 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview