CF AMERICA vs TOLUCA

Final 1:3

Toluca won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Alex Zendejas — CF America
⚽ Franco Romero — Toluca
⚽ Bruno Méndez — Toluca

2nd half

⚽ Paulinho — Toluca
🟥 Igor Lichnovsky — CF America

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

51%

1X2

Draw

90-minute result: Toluca

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

48%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

48%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

28%

Score

3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Final result breakdown for CF America vs Toluca. The match ended 1-3 in Undefined · Supercopa de la Liga MX. The model favored Draw with a low-confidence projection (51%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (48.4%) appeared as a marginal edge and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (48.4%) was identified as a weak indicator and held up in the final outcome. Both teams to score (53.6%) held up in the final outcome. League trends still provide useful baseline context for interpreting match tempo and goal distribution.

Team-level data remains useful for understanding style and chance creation across comparable fixtures. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

Sections

CF AMERICA vs TOLUCA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Match overview