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Poland · Super Cup

13 Jul 2025 16:00 UTC

LECH POZNAN vs LEGIA WARSZAWA

Final 1:2

Legia Warszawa won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Pawel Wszolek — Legia Warszawa
  2. Ilya Shkurin — Legia Warszawa

2nd half

  1. Filip Szymczak — Lech Poznan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview