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International · FIFA Club World Cup · FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

09 Jul 2025 19:10 UTC

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN vs REAL MADRID

Final 4:0

Top match Paris Saint-Germain won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fabián Ruiz — Paris Saint-Germain
  2. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé — Paris Saint-Germain
  3. ⚽ Fabián Ruiz — Paris Saint-Germain

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gonçalo Ramos — Paris Saint-Germain

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paris Saint-Germain
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 61 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview