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International · EURO U-21 · EURO U21 Final Stage

28 Jun 2025 19:00 UTC

ENGLAND U21 vs GERMANY U21

Final 3:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Harvey Elliott — England U21
  2. ⚽ Omari Hutchinson — England U21
  3. ⚽ Nelson Weiper — Germany U21

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Paul Nebel — Germany U21

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Rowe — England U21

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Germany U21
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
29%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 30 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview